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Coronavirus Numbers


Epigonos
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We've potentially turned a corner. It appears most Americans have taken the public health orders seriously over the last couple weeks, at least on a national basis. The range of probably deaths has declined to 30,000-130,000, with the expected around 60,000. That's significant improvement that shows how effective distancing and staying home can work when people take it seriously. If these orders stay in place until late May, we should be in that range.

 

https://covid19.healthdata.org/united-states-of-america

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On the news they just announced that the Cook County (Chicago) morgue normally receives an average of 20 bodies a week. Now, they are getting 40 bodies a day. They have rented refrigerated warehouses.

 

Yes. There are many poor people dying at home. Many aren't being counted in the coronavirus numbers because testing is very restricted. Tests won't be used on the dead. In a year or two, we will look back at overall death rates and see far more dead than the current official counts. Only then will we know the real cost of the pandemic.

 

New York has decided to finally start counting deaths that are at least strongly suspected COVID-19 related:

https://gothamist.com/news/death-count-expected-soar-nyc-says-it-will-begin-reporting-suspected-covid-deaths-addition-confirmed-ones

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I did not check the whole thread, perhaps someone else shared this before, and in that case I apologize:

 

https://www.washingtonpost.com/graphics/2020/world/mapping-spread-new-coronavirus/?itid=hp_no-name_hp-in-the-news%3Apage%2Fin-the-news

 

They update the numbers continuously, and is very easy to make quick comparisons in between countries and how fast the infection is progressing. In my scan of the countries I am mostly interested in, I noticed a significant difference between those implementing successful physical distance policies and those not doing it. Mexico is kind of scary.

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I did not check the whole thread, perhaps someone else shared this before, and in that case I apologize:

 

https://www.washingtonpost.com/graphics/2020/world/mapping-spread-new-coronavirus/?itid=hp_no-name_hp-in-the-news:page/in-the-news

 

They update the numbers continuously, and is very easy to make quick comparisons in between countries and how fast the infection is progressing. In my scan of the countries I am mostly interested in, I noticed a significant difference between those implementing successful physical distance policies and those not doing it. Mexico is kind of scary.

Great link! I like that you can choose raw numbers vs. adjusted for population in the graphs.

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Running out of body bags and they can't use Hefty Trash bags because the medical staff is using them in lieu of the protective gear they've run out of.

I'm afraid we're gonna start running out of hospital staff real soon.

 

Michigan hospital running out of body bags:

 

https://www.mlive.com/public-interest/2020/04/running-out-of-body-bags-people-dying-in-the-hallway-coronavirus-has-michigan-hospital-workers-at-a-breaking-point.html

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An interesting side effect has come to light here today. Along with the welcome news that the number of new infections is falling in Australia, the Deputy Chief Medical Officer reported today the the number of seasonal influenza cases has plummeted (his word).

 

Makes sense and been seen elsewhere. That's why I imagine many life lessons will stick from this pandemic. The handshake for example may need modification.

 

https://www.latimes.com/opinion/story/2020-03-08/coronavirus-handshake-contagion

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It's not at all surprising that if you taek steps that reduce transmission of an extremely highly contagious disease, you are going to also reduce transmission of diseases that are less contagious than the one you are trying to avoid.

I'm sure STD rates will be relatively low as well given most people aren't hooking up or are at least reducing their number of partners.

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