SirBillybob

I just squeaked in about 11:30 EDT but it froze up again.

I hadn’t really thought much about this. Age early 70s; fully retired 9 years; single with no dependents; no mortgage or other major expenses. Putting aside transient pandemic abstinence as a diluting factor, I estimate I’ve spent no more than 5% of my steady aggregate pension income on hiring and not touched my investment capital. However, I only hire when travelling to Europe or South America. Definitely not breaking the bank. I don’t drink or smoke, though some peers spend more on such compared to my escort expenditures. Travelling costs put the major dent in my disposable income, but that is deliberative. As I get older I don’t feel that lengthy months-long gaps between trips are particularly depriving and I have somehow internalized decades of hiring as having qualitatively added psychosexual value to existence. Having now appraised this topic, I think I may be under-consuming and need to upregulate. This afternoon’s task: heading out in the sweltering Rio heat to a Santander ATM to cover dairy costs.

Yes, it’s down. About a week or so ago it crashed for a few days and then back up with an admin communication delineating that the content capacity had been exceeded (I am not a ‘techie’) and there would need to be some kind of space revamping. I suppose this is what is meant by “breaking the internet”. Perhaps today’s access problem is related to the recent one or additional renovation is being executed. Since contextual backdrop explanation had recently emerged, I would think it’s unrelated to what might be going in with gaybutton, a site unfamiliar to me, or perhaps Velcro is back in gay style.

Isn’t that what you just did, for free? LOL. With 1,300-1,400 views thus far on one topic, not nearly completed, he hardly needs the help. And that’s not counting the hordes of unregistered lurkers … um, readers … using public domain option. And now I did it too.

As I indicated, there are elaborate descriptions on the other site many of us read, as the South America scene is more emphasized. I will outline a few key points of distinct difference. Otherwise, the social media links provide clues as to its contrast. As much a regular hookup bathhouse as an escort venue, though as saunas go it’s quite small. Not known for hotter young crowd. Most customers are not there to pay. The regular cabins are dark cubicles with nothing to lie down on. In short, sucks. The escorts work only in 3 small separate massage table compartments. No option for a more conventional mattress/bed so sexual choreography is awkward. You pay the venue COP60K for basic massage and he gets a cut. You pay the masseur directly for extras. Most of them double as dancers (& private dance if desired) in the linked club that opens 3-4 nights: Gigolo Erotic House. Most seem to be “tops”. Three of seven days are designated as full nudity. You may need to pay a few more bucks for the option to wear a towel or briefs, etc. The “upsell over-charge hustle” directed at ‘gringos’ is more pronounced, whereas Thermas rates are comparatively invariant. A non-manipulative guy typically accepts COP60-100K tip; others may request up to 300K. As per usual, caveat emptor as far as negotiations and avoiding surprises. I’ve been to Thermas dozens of times and often left without tricking with trade, hence, blue balls. Saint Moritz about ten times and, so far, pleased each time. All so far agreeable to giving phone number, though I haven’t met any off site. There are very decent inexpensive short-time ‘love/sex’ hotels nearby, catering to heteros but MSM-friendly, if that is a desired option. I took a bar server to one for paid interaction; the room&ensuite was very nice and he could not leave the premises unless I accompanied him down at reception where staff unlocked the door electronically for exiting.

Like I said above, this, only fairly reliable venue in all of Colombia. Saint Moritz Sauna in Chapinero gay district in Bogotá. More info on the “other site”, not so much on this board even under Latin Amer travel. I note that this topic is under Europe, so I made sure to embed key search terms in this text. Not the same structure/arrangements or number of escorts as Thermas, but I usually find what I want even though I tend to be picky about build and looks. It’s good enough that I will visit Bogotá twice this winter, but also extended time in Brazil and its saunas, so if St Moritz does not live up to its previous promise … https://instagram.com/saintmoritz.bog?igshid=YmMyMTA2M2Y= https://twitter.com/saintmoritz_bog?s=21&t=MZSqEPZdNWO24a-W6gmDDg

Truer words … will what goes around come around? FullSizeRender.MOV

…. Summer and beyond … I have been to many cinema live stream or ‘encore’ ballets but had always passed on The Met. The dance offerings have dried up. I have also rarely been to live opera and know very little about it. That will change, in terms of streaming, as I went to The Hours yesterday. It was very moving and I was stunned by the sounds coming out of the mouths of Fleming, DiDonato, and O’Hara. An encore is scheduled for January. Must be a recording. Christine Baranski hosts. O’Hara plays her niece by marriage in Gilded Age S2. The libretto was a few times a little difficult to follow … I tend to watch all films in streaming mode, as well as TV, with subtitles now anyway as I often find the diction unclear. The Hours was subtitled in another language where I am due to my location, so a bit of distraction with the back and forth in my mind, but I had of course read Cunningham’s novel years ago and seen the movie. I could not find the libretto on line but I suggest reading or reviewing the book if you want to better catch all the language, as also much of the dialogue is interior, unsurprisingly, compared to the movie. Unless it is subtitled in English where most of you are; probably is.

I had already referenced it earlier in the thread. I don’t recall if the older Henry was schooled by his father in PrEP use should he go further with himself. Though Cam uses condoms for the sake of a key plot line. Best if TJ self-sucks or a male blows him. Lady Mary blew him in Downtown Abbey and it killed him.

Hot dude with loud swimming trucks and swimming supportively grabs Daphne when she is hysterically running onto shore. But a flash of his head and back only, so not sure if it’s Cam. Would a random dude grab her as she screams? Another plot tease. We know from finale trailer that Cam and Ethan come to fisticuffs and angrily pushing heads under the water.

Yeah I know it’s an option for Air Canada my usual carrier but I find some other carriers required counter check-in particularly in pandemic times. I typically use online if permitted. And I was in Premium Econ but no queue privileges. I cannot remember all the factors posing impediments. Shifting sands for testing and for vaxx proof. But hundreds of others flying Swiss had not taken the web check-in option either, judging by the vast queues of youngish digital age skilled passengers, many anxious about the long delays and pushed to the front by staff for desk check-in depending on risks of missing boarding. I cannot recall if I had a bag to check but there was no baggage drop-off station and no user kiosk screens for printing tickets or baggage stickers, such as exist in Montreal. I was asked by the counter CSR in Zürich to produce proof of COVID related documents other than the ArriveCAN receipt but I had to school him because the Canada requirements had lessened and he had not ‘received the memo’ so to speak. Generally a shit show when travel resumed last Spring. That was then and my advice was given in that experiential context. YMMV.

SPOILER ALERT beyond the gap I deliberately entered. Welly welly well well well … looks like Quentin’s unrequited American cowboy crush would be one Rick, Tanya’s conveniently absented recent hubby. Was this a set up that historically began in S1? But series just renewed for S3 and White will likely want JC back and Tanya not killed off this Sunday. Judging from the first episode it appears that the dead body in the water would have been sourced in the hotel vicinity. Face down, legs seem slim. And the exchange between manager Valentina and another local at that time indicates that there had been bodies of other hotel guests also discovered.

Since it’s your first time, be aware that you would not likely be able to easily get to (and out of) Copacabana for the NYE ‘Reveillon’ fireworks at midnight, and rubbing shoulders with some 2-3 million others, whether moving by taxi, ride platforms, or Metro for that matter as the latter can only transport a small fraction on the subway by reserved fare advance ticket times. If it’s on your bucket list (overrated and oppressively crowded from my point of view) be aware that you would likely need to be staying in Copacabana, though it’s possible to walk from Ipanema especially it’s eastern section. If you are not staying in either area, you could conceivably get to Copacabana earlier on 31 December and stay through the night primarily outdoors until able to get back out later on 1 January. That would be far more ambitious than I would find it worth. Unfortunately, the vantage point of the fireworks launch barges is not amenable to being viewed from other city districts particularly those close to the water. But you can find many videos of past displays on YouTube if you want to get an idea of the appeal. Similarly, if you get a coveted Copacabana Beach rooftop party ticket, note that getting in and out of the zone other than by foot would be daunting.

All the time. What an eyeful my executors will get rifling thru documents signed eg HotTop21cm, etc. Is not at least one party if not both parties going to reveal legal name(s) for a signed agreement. I cannot think of many encounters where both my true name and the providers true name are explicit. I am very far from famous but I have had a modest regional public profile and have presented on “educational TV” (not PBS). Clearly unknown by South American and European providers, though. Escort usually has a ‘nom de plonger’ and I am ‘Grampy’, formerly ‘Daddy’. Do I want a paper trail, irrespective of its actual legal thrust? Seems to me that requires a trade-off of least partial anonymity for formality; six of one, half a dozen of another.

In contrast to Spain, Monkeypox virus remains more active among urban Colombian MSM, and MVA-BN vaccination has not been widespread. However, incidence has been consistently on the downturn and the % probability of minimally one active case among N number of sexually active susceptibles is approximately [1 - (.9994 to the exponential power of N)] x 100 … for example about 1.5% for any aggregate of 25 behaviourally at-risk gay (including presumably gay-for-pay) men. You’d likely have to have a great deal of unprotected sex to be unwittingly exposed.

I recently went to Medellín for close to two weeks and will be returning to Colombia for most of the winter, but not Medellín, though I enjoyed Medellín for its non-sexual (non “sex tourist” features); once being enough in terms of my general travel bucket list. An excursion to Guatapé area is a must, but will be mobbed at that time and DIY basis may present obstacles as far as getting there by regional bus due to its popularity among city dwellers during the season. I actually don’t mind being solo for extended periods as there is usually so much to do in a new place and I combine self-catering with dining out. No bar scene for me; in my 70s and early to bed-and-rise. I have been to Barcelona many times. The difference, from my point of view, is the degree to which you prefer the convenience and structure of a more curated and trade-specific setting, such as Sauna Thermas in ‘Geixample’ BCN, or the greater effort and challenge of hooking up through other means, as would be the reality in Medellín. … depending on your specifications. Additionally, the physical appearance selection aspects, but since you have not specified any preference, I see no point at this time providing my comparative take. What I can say is that written or image depictions provided on our various punter sites would not impel me to choose Medellín over Barcelona for trade, though equivalency based on subjective preference (if one can unearth it) would typically be less expensive in Colombia. Similarly, the few hotel brothel outfits will oblige with a photo inventory via WhatsApp but nothing of appeal to me or what I would shell out for. I had to drill down and try not to waste valuable sightseeing time to yield a bit of success. However, I had made sure to immediately follow up my recent trip with travel to a destination where accessing the type of trade I prefer was a sure thing. Really hot Colombians often discover they can earn so much more bank abroad. And nationally, Bogotá affords the curated setting of Sauna St-Moritz & Gigolo Erotic House nightclub/ stripper venue with private dance etc, in the same Chapinero-district building. Otherwise, my preferred accommodations mode, Airbnb, is extremely more expensive in Barcelona compared to Colombian cities based on the same overall quality. For example, Barcelona was 3-4 times the rate per night, meagre selection, in May relative to Medellín this Fall. In short, Medellín is a good bet for general travel; and sexually if your hunting is solid, organized and flexible and you are far more ambitious and less lazy than me. Time Out lists it as 3rd globally for tourism destinations. The holiday season would likely be as good a time as any, save the aforementioned challenges getting to further afield where the locals like to relax. —— Finally, be aware that one must complete the online CheckMig for both entering and leaving Colombia; some have found it to be a breeze, while others have found it glitchy and stressful.

Oops, apparently not able to DM yet …

To be fair, he is well up to speed and most of the content is on point. However, in terms of reliably catching a clinical tidbit of genuine value packaged simply, humbly, and usefully, there are usually enough fish in the sea to support throwing some back. A judicious level of ornamentation and analogy is fine, but there is sometimes a sense of roadkill, running over a good point to persuasively deliver it, particularly if not well embraced. We know by now that a topic titled “Is anybody doing or not doing such and such?” portends a declaration of others’ stupidity and inferiority. ____ Pomposity, moi? Now that’s calling the pot avocado. —— Breaking for months of travel. See you on the other side, come Ides of Feb.

What’s pseudo-intellectual about using epidemiological terms one might find in public domain sources? My renewed awareness of number needed to intervene metrics is sourced in articles in the domain of publications like The Atlantic or Nature. It’s pseudo-intellectual if not understood by the user, or cringingly misappropriated. Otherwise, it’s simply possibly intellectual, if for example one is minimally double-digit published in Infectious Diseases, primarily as sole PI, some as dyadicCoPI, a sprinkling of CI role. People can look up terms; I’m always doing so, neither a baby nor babying. These terms were employed in the interests of buttressing your valid points regarding intervention risk. But since you seem to be prone to getting your panties in a knot, and your fee fees may be hurt owing to a critical appraisal of some of your points, here is what is cringeworthy: for hyperbolic dramatic effect estimating the number needed to vaccinate in Canada as being in the millions, blithely using the total adult population as the per capita incidence denominator when the relevant population is quantitatively an extremely minor subset more appropriately, if quirkily, labelled USofGay or Gaynada. Sure, risk in a bathhouse might seem currently not meaningful; your argument is not strengthened by misapplied multiples of risk improbability. If you cannot see where I am attempting to add non-manipulative data counterprevailing nonsensical analogy, so be it. I am of average intelligence yet experienced in conducting and teaching MedSci research, including bona fide health sciences faculty status. This is not to suggest that my playbook is “me credentialed; others lesser life form”, as may be the bent of others here. It is just me identifying some capacity for smell testing viz convoluted reasoning. if I were pseudo-smart I might be inclined to swallow some of your guff. With you, an effort is required to extract the signal from the noise. There is no need to get worked up into a state. You could simply point out the incidence trends, not as if they are in the same category as a disease to which everyone is realistically subject. By now there is ample information about probability in simplistic terms and the cost-benefit equation associated with MVA-BN uptake. The guidance is put forward by InfDis team colleagues in Canada, of which a PCP or indeed someone like me is typically excluded. I have double-digit years of university Ed but no professional medical health discipline degree sought or obtained. The MVA comparator reference falls short because it is a constant. Apples oranges. MPXV infection had inflated in short order by a factor of hundreds-fold relative to both its paltry incipient trend and the current rolling incidence. If lethal MVAs had growth-surged exponentially by a few logarithm base10 amounts over the summer there would have been a major mitigation campaign, likely with a certain degree of imposition, and fallout of some nature I imagine. That it would have been transient and waned to a significant degree, in the analogy, wouldn’t mean that folks holding residually to the control measures, and Public Health endorsing them, is out of whack. It would take some time to revert back to the general normal related to rules of the road. There would be a collective experiential holding of tragedy, funerals, abject grief, given the example for illustration is mortality. For MPXV both the conceptual brain and limbic components related to natural anxiety and manifest disease images are involved. Many of us pursued vaccination at early low levels of incidence no different than current trends, with comparatively less understanding of vaccination iatrogenic potential, the deleterious consequences of the intervention itself, etc. How much transmission and subsequent growth was to occur was unknown, at best inferred for cautionary reasons. The decision to vaccinate does not make any recipient a naïf or dullard at any point in the disease trajectory and nobody should particularly put themselves under your influence on this matter. A necessary and sufficient degree of vaxx uptake to attenuate disease has occurred, for sure, likely in combination with behavioural adjustments. People will still check bits for lesions, less necessarily, or seek safety nets for missing detection of a vector of transmission. Without Vaccinia history I’d likely get a second dose in Montreal since I have several weeks of sex vacation coming up in regions of low incidence but inflated per capita prevalence and contagion where group risk specificity is relevant. This would be because I know what I’m doing; in fact, probably knowing no less than anybody, ANYbody on this forum.

Why does it matter whether immunization continues? There’s no queue to speak of. In Canada 200,000 additional at-risk MSM would need to be vaccinated to offset the trickle of new incidence, say 20 cases over the next month. Only 20-25% have pursued uptake and that has picked the low hanging fruit for which disproportionate transmission dispersion was attributed. As you know, that’s an absurd NNT, notwithstanding your own awareness of clinical morbidity as a factor that should not be downplayed. Negligible new incidence is random and simply shit fortune, and vaccination at this juncture defies subpopulation subgroup targeting, so the only strategy is all for one and one for all, 10,000 prospective vaccinated for each single averted case, loosely predicated on stability in negligible incidence. NNT is absolute risk reduction inverted and there is no ARR available yet. As you know, 10,000:1 not justifiable in the context of value judgements positioned against reality, absolute zero a pipe dream given global mobility and zoonosis, what have you. However, since so few getting added to the inoculated the chances of severe adverse events going forward are negligible; the forward additive cumulative reactogenicity breadth is paltry. The point is the thing you may find objectionable does not seem to be appreciably manifesting. Comparing SAE risk to lethally slipping on a banana peel en route is similarly absurd; the latter was always a constant per N of 1. You’re dead irrespective of what position on a gradient of infection risk wrt prevalence exists that day. One can die slipping on a peel going to the activity replacing the action of travelling to a vaxx jab that was scuppered due to the notion that the protection necessity wouldn’t justify the risk of death by peel. These relativisms surrounding choice are lost on me. What does it matter if a puny subset of non-immune are stepping up because they meet the criteria and are late to the party? Thousands have received MVA-BN at a time leading up to incidence peaking or on the curve descent approaching its nadir. There was never defined a juncture at which the product would be mothballed and the admin venues shuttered. It’s symbolically mostly shelved, albeit with latitude for stragglers. Your pronouncement leans towards being superfluous while LTP’s tentative light at the end of the tunnel surely has to be adequately bright by now. I cannot alter the impasse between the two of you. But, yes, it would be useful to have a threshold at which redeployment to LMICs could launch even while placeholding somewhat for the overprivileged.

Devil’s Breath? Good Night Cinderella? Place your bets.

Infection exposure risk assessment depends on rolling local incidence/prevalence metrics stratified by the unique risk subgroup, ascertainment bias adjustment for case undercount, contagion duration, and number of (theoretical or real) contacts in an individual’s behavioural risk radius. As well as the inferred protection from artificial immunity, and perhaps considering an estimate of recent natural immunity breadth per risk-group capita. With all these variables one can approximate a numerical probability of exposure, if not infection fruition, and stack that up against one’s risk tolerance. If only equivocating about vaxx uptake at a binary level and not considering these factors I don’t see the point in much discussion. I am not going to data dive into all of the variables but I do follow incidence as @Unicorndoes. I will have a fair sense of reasonably quantified exposure risk for my winter SoAmer extended sexcursions, as I will plunge into the available data in several weeks when relevant. I am paed Vaccinia scarified and had a primary MVA-BN dose subQ in June. I’ve had 2 automated reminders for 2nd dose subQ but passing for now. Knitting the factors together, risk is statistically low. The important thing is, while incidence is now reduced and vaxx uptake high in NoAmer excluding MX, where you travel may have incidence not reflected in regional epidemiology data. Also bear in mind that in some regions there is minimal artificial immunity (eg, no MVA-BN uptake) and the ratio of natural and artificial immunity is unknown. If somebody wishes to convey sound estimates of the variable gaps above I have not investigated, I can provide some examples commensurate with the algorithmic applications that underpin exposure risk by N people, and that were utilized by, but basically ignored, Georgia Tech U and Stanford U’s efforts for SARS-CoV-2. Technically, it’s more simplified because risk is group-specific, visible manifestations spur assortative behaviour, and MPXV is comparatively wimpy viz transmission. This is unrelated to vaxx SAE considerations.

Unfortunate, and all too possible though likely statistically rare for once in a lifetime visitors whereas your risk is inflated temporally. So far, having accumulated several months in Rio/Sampa since 2015, I am incident-spared. My playbook is, similarly, to not appear the least bit infected with affluenza. May I ask the general location of your mishap?

I myself would more than welcome a crack at dawn and in my mind’s eye it would be imbued with a heavenly very arousagenic light. He might be the actual sole trash in the bedroom while it is unlikely I would be deemed such. 😌

He (Theo James) sucked himself off via time travel in a previous series; now somebody else will likely need to step up.