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augustus

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Posts posted by augustus

  1. Talk about real estate bubbles bursting, look at this article about San Francisco.   Condo prices are crashing there.  

     

    https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/realestate/california-condo-prices-crash-by-up-to-40-in-some-areas/ar-BB1nFA8v?ocid=msedgntp&pc=HCTS&cvid=cbb2ef4e5d5b45eeaca60af4b6e1cd7b&ei=25

     

    A downtown San Francisco recent condo sale......

    Purchased in 2015 for 2.001MM

    Just sold for $1.168MM

    $833k loss

     

  2. 8 hours ago, pubic_assistance said:

    Fortunately the US judicial system has mechanisms to prevent people from suffering from clearly biased court decisions.

    As we see above,  the ability to say that phrase "convicted felon" is being weaponized. So the court of public opinion may attempt to take away rights someone may otherwise have.

    Well said.   A judge who was hand-picked instead of chosen by the normal lottery system and whose jury instructions were so convoluted they took up 55 pages and 90 minutes to read, just for starters.  No one should be a "convicted felon" under these circumstances and lose any rights.   

  3. 3 hours ago, FrankR said:

    Why are you listening to politicians and the Fed when it comes to inflation? Go to the source: the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The news release for inflation in April (dated May 15) under “Latest Releases” did not mention “core” once. 

    I do.  There are some people here who cite the core and claim that inflation isn't bad, which is a blatant lie.  Inflation is worse than any official numbers.  Bloomberg had an article on it.  We have had more than 14% inflation in the last 3 years.  It's at least double that.

  4. 1 hour ago, Monarchy79 said:

    Add heart problems and overall cognitive decline to that list. 
    I loathe weed. 

    Agreed.  I know 2 adults who started smoking weed when it became legal in my state two years.  It's like they are descending into madness with the paranoia and irrational thoughts.  And an ER doctor neighbor told me they are seeing many young people with mental problems caused by pot.  All drugs are bad and there's nothing "cool" about them.

  5. 6 hours ago, EZEtoGRU said:

    Turns out multiple retailers are actively lowering prices currently.  Think Walgreens, Walmart, Ikea, Amazon, Aldi, and others. 

    WWW.MSN.COM

     

    They should!  How much of a decline in prices is the question.  Just look at this article.  As I've been saying inflation is far worse than the official numbers.   They have to lower prices because people ain't got the money anymore.  

     

    WWW.CNBC.COM

    The president of McDonald's USA clarified its price inflation in a press release in response to 100% price increase claims by House Republicans, among others.

     

  6. 2 hours ago, sniper said:

    Um, they were saying that abiut weed 30-40 years ago when they were putting the "Just Say No" campaigns into schools. I doubt it's 100x more potent now than it was in the 60s.

    Incorrect.  The potency of pot today is very high and causing serious problems.  Just what this country needs!  Pot is something you do in high school and then move on.  It ain't cool.  Life is difficult enough as it is.

     

    MEDICINE.YALE.EDU

    Brain changes and other cannabis side effects need more study, say Yale researchers.

     

  7.  

    US Treasury yields for 5/28/24:

    US 2- MO   5.386    
    US 4- MO   5.41    
    US 6- MO   5.383    
    US 1-YR      5.232    
    US 2-YR      4.964    

     

    It's official.  CD rates cannot beat treasuries for the time being.  It used to be the other way.  In addition, the interest here is non-taxable for State income tax purposes so the yield is even better.  

     

  8. 3 hours ago, rvwnsd said:

    BofA was the victim of good ol' fashioned dick-swinging. After Chase acquired Bear Stearns, the then-chair of BofA had to show Jamie Dimon that his dick was bigger and acquired Countrywide and Merrill Lynch. Sadly, that did not work out very well. 

    Ahhh yes, I forgot about that! Countrywide was a disaster.

  9. I am predicting many bank failures over the next couple of years.  The US banking system has $2 trillion in unrecognized bond losses because of the rise in interest rates (and because interest rates were held too low for years).  

  10. On 5/8/2024 at 11:52 PM, rvwnsd said:

    Back to the topic, I don't see a slew of bank failures on the horizon, as was the case in 2008 when three large banks (BofA, Citi, and WaMu) failed

    BofA and Citi didn't actually fail.  They received TARP money and actually paid it all back with interest.  All the big banks were forced to take TARP money whether they needed it or not, so there wouldn't be a run on the weaker ones like Citi that did receive TARP money.

  11. Malinformation and complete false info is being peddled.  Inflation boosts the fortunes of the top quintile of US earners and kills the living standards of the other 80%.  The notion no one would ever want prices to go back down (the new talking point), is so insulting to those of lesser means, it is shocking anyone, would actually be so tone death, as to voice it.  Never, in the history of the US, have the powers that be been so solely focused on aid to the well-educated and well heeled, at the expense of all other Americans.

  12. 41 minutes ago, KeepItReal said:

    Okay. Stop. Now you are just confusing everybody with jibber jabber. In the USA we use Consumer Price Index (primary) and Personal Consumption Expenditure (secondary) to measure inflation. We do NOT use core price indexing to measure inflation...at all. 

    You have no "Master's of Economics".  The "core" numbers are always cited by the Fed, among others, in their decision making.  There are several measures of the inflation rate and some don't include food and energy. Don't argue with me.  The gibberish is yours.

  13. Then the media and government reports that "Core prices, which exclude volatile food and energy items, logged their lowest increase since April 2021".... So the measure of inflation excludes food and energy (and a lot of other things)  The two items that impact consumers most.  Any wonder why the public says "BS".  

  14. 6 minutes ago, KeepItReal said:

    I'll ask again: if you compare Jan 2020 to Jan 2024 on the chart you selected...where do you end up? 

    We end up nowhere, that's where.  You brought up the rise in disposable income (and the numbers you cited are incorrect).  Then you totally ignore the double digit increases in prices for goods and services, many of which aren't even included in the CPI numbers or are given a low weighting.  Everyone knows what time it is, except a small minority in denial. THAT is what you are avoiding.

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