LivingnLA
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Posts posted by LivingnLA
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Still finding it increasingly enlightening that no one in the LA area has posted that they know ANYONE in our massage community, on either side of the table, that had contracted the disease?
I wouldn't expect any public admissions. It's too risky either way.
- filmbuff78 and GeminiCA
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Why are you saying it's bad news? It's expected since these trials were supposed to stop at the end of May. It does means access to remdesivir will be limited, but let's hope the results from the trials are good.
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We are still in early days and on trend for over 150,000 American dead, but this is some encouraging news about long-term immune response against COVID-19.
https://www.sciencemag.org/news/2020/05/t-cells-found-covid-19-patients-bode-well-long-term-immunity
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One of the greatest feel good songs of all time.
- orville and + easygoingpal
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<Warning - pure speculation>
Well, aside from the implication of sexual relief out in the desert, seems to me that if you're riding a camel which sneeze or coughs and pointed into a mild breeze it would be blown in your face. Or when feeding your steed ... We probably haven't done any studies of whether MERS is shed into sweat, but if Covid-19 (Sars-2-covid?) can be found in semen, then sweat doesn't seem implausible for MERS.
</Warning - pure speculation>
Doesn't seem at all farfetched to me.
Aren't natural reservoirs fun to think about?
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To know what's going on in Hong Kong, assuming we trust their data (and that's a big if), we would need to know the antibody levels in the community. As a place that gets quite hot and steamy by April, it may just be that the virus has been less virulent there, and now they have major herd immunity.
The one scientific study you quoted does show some decrease in spread of Coronavirus (probably, p=0.07) from those wearing masks. It's a bit of a leap of faith to say that they definitely reduce transmission, however. I think it's fair to say that masks probably do reduce transmission. That being said, NBC virology consultant/correspondent Dr. Joseph Fair caught Covid-19, while assiduously taking all precautions, probably on a flight in which everyone was presumably also wearing masks.
Although I think it's likely that masks do help, I would have worded things more along the lines of "masks probably help reduce transmission" rather than that they "would" reduce transmission. Hopefully they do, and we should act on the assumption that they do, but we don't really know.
I do not believe I've used definitive language because we don't have enough good research, but even just thinking in terms of the physics, it seems logical to say masks can reduce the probability of transmission. The question is how much, but while we wait for that answer, we already know enough to reasonably say masks seem to play a source control role in reducing transmission of viruses like SARS-CoV-2. It isn't perfect. But, if everyone wears masks in public, the amount of virus in the environment will likely be reduced. Regarding the doctor probably infected on a recent flight, we know the eyes are a potential entry point. It appears conjunctivitis (pink eye) may be an uncomon COVID-19 symptom. Dr. Fair did not say everyone was wearing a mask. US carriers are generally only encouraging, not requiring, travelers to wear masks. If everyone on the flight wore masks properly for the duration of the flight, the amount of virus in the environment would likely be less than without masks. But, Dr. Fair said the plane was packed, so even with everyone wearing masks, he probably would've been infected anyway, especially if the infected person was within 6ft because of the likely duration of exposure.
Nothing is certain, but in terms of probabilities, I believe we should strongly encourage masks in public and require them in higher risk situations like grocery stores, workplaces, airplanes, and the like. But, I suspect this will continue to be a divisive issue. Maybe when the official death count surpasses 100,000 in about a week more people will care, but I doubt it.
We can't attribute all of this to masks, but it's interesting data to consider. Have you looked at the natural experiments in South Korea and Czechoslovakia? Those were discussed on the fast.ai research link I shared above. Here are two relevant graphs:
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It is in the Journal I suggested but when I look it up I cannot find it there but there article itself has that stamp. I will get you the link and post it here.
@hypothetically, pubmed.gov is your friend and our tax dollars at work.
@purplekow, were you referring to this paper? https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3187504/ or was it this one? https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3187484/ Those were the only two I saw in the October 2011 of J Virology that seemed relevant, but I was quick scanning on pubmed.gov so I may have missed one or perhaps pubmed wasn't complete.
While I was searching, I saw this interesting overview of current vaccine candidates.
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I don't necessarily doubt that statement, but do you have a reference to back it up?
Hand hygiene matters too. Here you go:
https://www.theatlantic.com/technology/archive/2020/05/how-hong-kong-beating-coronavirus/611524/
Hong Kongers were so successful in their efforts that even the flu season ended six weeks earlier than usual. And now life returns to normal in Hong Kong: Museums and libraries are already open, and schools are reopening. People are able to go out and live their lives.Hongkongers insisted on masks very early on, even while their government hesitated. It seemed to be a significant contributor in their success managing the coronavirus and the seasonal flu.
And here's an article about some data and modeling spelling out the probabilities and science:
And here's another scientific study about the efficacy of surgical masks for source control of coronavirus and the flu:
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I never thought of pandemics ending in any other way but medically. Interesting that history has a “social end” to some pandemics. I never realized that.
I see they included the 1968 pandemic in their list. To learn from past pandemics is why I brought that pandemic up in prior posts: to learn from the past.
Pandemics have biological, psychological, and sociological aspects. That's part of why epidemiology is so complex. The many variables of human behavior on an individual level are complicated enough but get even more complex at population scale.
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MERS is actually still around, it's just not very transmittable..most cases are from camel to human transmission (human to human has been recorded but only in hospitals). There actually were 15 cases in Saudi Arabia in March. http://outbreaknewstoday.com/saudi-arabia-reports-15-mers-cases-in-march-2020/
Yes, I know. I was referring to outbreaks burning out. It's high fatality rate combined with vigilant testing and tracing has so far stopped it from becoming a pandemic, lucky for humanity.
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i'm not a doctor, but from what i've been reading about the way successful countries (germany for one) have treated this is that they monitor and provide care for patients who have tested positive, no matter how mild their symptoms are. whereas here in this country, we are telling patients to stay home when they are showing symptoms. and by the time they go out to seek care it is far too late and they are already presenting with a severe case that requires ventilation. it seems to me that we need to completely reexamine how we're managing patients who test positive.
The likely bigger driver of success is the large testing and contact tracing efforts in "successful countries" because they identify many asymptomatic cases before they spread the coronavirus far and wide. Here in the USA, testing is so limited that we generally only test people with symptoms and our overemphasis on illusory individual freedom over community good means enough of us resist wearing masks, isolating, distancing, and contact tracing that the virus still moves freely across America. There was a big birthday party in Pasadena not too long ago. One infected person was there coughing without a mask, no one else was wearing a mask or distancing, and multiple people were infected, some became seriously ill.
- + Bryan Dube and rvwnsd
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Just curious about escort stories of the rich and famous... or infamous for that matter...
Daddy has run this and his other site on a shoestring for years. We all need to help him by not exposing him and us to legal action. I'd wager one lawsuit or criminal action is all it would take to shut him down for good. Please save the gossip for other sites. And donate to Daddy if you have a few dollars to spare.
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One of the things that has hampered development of a coronavirus vaccine is that previous contagions have been wiped out through containment and mitigation. Since the pathogen just goes away after a while, the effort to develop a vaccine is always abandoned.
Yes, though MERS and SARS have much higher fatality rates so outbreaks have so far burned out with decent containment. This novel coronavirus is much more transmittable. Hopefully we can create a vaccine because it will be with us for years. Either way, we have to learn to live with it and minimize how many die if we want to reduce the damage, including the economic damage. Whether we can develop a vaccine or not, eventually our species will adapt. Ideally, we will have treatments to manage symptoms, reduce deaths, and help the many survivors with lifelong organ damage.
https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2020/03/coronavirus-covid-19-mers-sars-experts/
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A vaccine is an open question. The larger macro issue: this won't be the last pandemic. We need a global research fund for vaccine development. Hopefully, as we learn how to live with covid-19, many new norms will be established. Masks in public as a cultural norm would not only reduce covid-19 transmission, but would also reduce the annual flu and common cold. Many things will probably change whether we are able to develop a vaccine or not.
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Watching @easygoingpal video again I noticed that the chemistry between Tina and Eros was NOT a performance. At some point Eros had to kneel to hide the evidence. Yes, I'm a cock-watcher! But just imagine having such erotic power that you could make a hot man's cock get hard just with the sound of your voice. Lucky b*tch!
Here's the moment when Eros' beautiful boner starts growing and Tina can barely contain the laughter.
The 30 seconds "show" within the show, "shows" better on video. I already set it to start at 03:14 ?
Tina Turner was dynamite and a fantasy for men for decades. Turner and Ramazzotti worked together on that single for his Eros album in 1997 or 1998. I'm guessing, but what if he idolized her or even jacked off to her when he was young? His body would remember. She was mezmerizing in her time.
- orville and + easygoingpal
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https://www.billboard.com/articles/news/7990551/richard-sexuality-religion-history
Following his hit "Tutti Frutti" reaching No. 2 on the Billboard R&B chart in 1956, Richard enjoyed a few years of success as a rock 'n' roll performer. (Interestingly enough, the original lyrics of "Tutti Frutti" were about another gay man: "Tutti Frutti, good booty / If it don't fit, don't force it / You can grease it, make it easy.")- orville, Monarchy79, BabyBoomer and 2 others
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It's strongly suspected the coronavirus is able to hide in the testes. Now we have a very small study that the virus is in semen, which would be expected if it's able to hide in the testes. Yet another reason to use a condom for oral and anal sex just in case it's infectious.
https://www.cnn.com/2020/05/07/health/coronavirus-semen-china-health/index.html
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More mystery. It has now been discovered that the virus arrived in Europe in December rather than January. It was quietly circulating before being discovered. This could account for the surprising number of people who have the antibodies in their blood.
The mystery to me is why didn’t it flare up earlier. As contagious as it is, it seems many people had it but either showed no symptoms or might have had mild symptoms that made them think they had a cold or light flu. What changed?
Yes, it was in Europe in December or even possibly November. It was in the US in January or possibly December. The US saw earliest cases on the West Coast based on the strain directly from China. The East Coast was infected by a strain from Europe that appears to be more contagious and became the dominant global strain by mid March.
Something else to consider, the 2019-2020 flu season was bad compared to previous years. Perhaps many early coronavirus cases were missed and misdiagnosed. We'll never know for sure because so many cases are asymptomatic and testing remains very limited in the USA. Heck, it'll be a year or more before we have a solid understanding of how many humans actually died because of this coronavirus.
https://slate.com/technology/2020/01/flu-season-a-strain-b-strain-deadly.html
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Curious if anyone can link to, or even knows anecdotally, of an instance where mixing vasodilators (such as Viagra) and poppers resulted in a medical crisis. The warning has always been there, but I've never heard of it actually happening IRL, and it always seems to be rather hypothetical. But just because I've never heard of it doesn't mean it doesn't happen, hence my question.
This is basic biochemistry. It isn't anecdote. Erectile Dysfunction medications and poppers affect cardiovascular dilation. When combined they can cause all sorts of side effects including a serious drop in blood pressure. Even a healthy human male can die if the variables line up. Every human male who wants to take an ED medication should talk to their doctor about it. During that conversation, ask the doctor about poppers. Why? Because there are many variables and presumably the doctor knows the specific issues and can best advise on the relative risks.
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The math is irrefutable without magical thinking. The nonpartisan reality is the USA being on trend for 80,000 to 100,000 dead by the end of May in a best case scenario. Epidemiologically, it's impossible to contain a pandemic when a large enough portion of a population fail to comply with public health guidelines and the USA has somewhere between 20 and 30% noncompliance depending on the city, state, and specific demographics being discussed. The USA seems to have chosen to mitigate and reopen while attempting to "thread a needle" of a few hundred thousand deaths this year as a best possible case. These deaths will disproportionately be among the poor, which is presumably why this choice was made since we already tolerate hundreds of thousands of dead poor every year in our society. This is different though, because there is a real risk that these additional deaths will cause major disruptions in supply chains, especially food, and the immigration freezes only increase this risk. If these disruptions occur, consumer panic will likely crash the economy again and likely be worse than what we've just been through these past two months. That could cascade causing another lost decade for the vast majority of Americans. For the record, I very much hope to be wrong, but to deny the data is to succumb to magical thinking and I rarely do that, especially as I need to plan and prepare to continue protecting my family.
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EXCUSE ME ?!
You're excused.
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https://abcnews.go.com/Health/accurate-us-coronavirus-death-count-experts-off-tens/story?id=70385359
Daniel Weinberger, an epidemiologist from the Yale School of Public Health, analyzed NCHS death count data to estimate how many COVID-19 deaths may have gone uncounted during the five-week period from March 1 to April 3.
He concluded the official death toll in the U.S. is "probably a substantial underestimate of the true number by tens of thousands." The actual figure, he said, may be "in the ballpark of double the reported cases."
And supposedly another 100,000 body bags have been ordered by the federal government. If we keep seeing 2k official deaths every day and the real number of deaths is more in the 3-4k range, we will see another 100k deaths in about a month. I really hope they're wrong, but the data trends don't look good for poor Americans.
- + stevenkesslar and samhexum
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Is Straight Enticing to you?
in The Deli
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It depends on what we're discussing when talking about "straight guys."
If we're talking about their Sexual Orientation, that is what it is, just like any genetically based environmentally expressed characteristic. As research has shown over the years, Sexual Activity is correlated with Sexual Orientation, but it is independent. It is entirely possible for a heterosexually oriented person to enjoy and engage in same-sex sexual activity.
My first sex with a guy was what I can look back on now and see as coercion but it solidly established some of my kinks. Could I change them? With enough processing and therapy, yes I probably could since much of this stuff is very malleable. But why? I'm not hurting anyone and I've had some very fun experiences over the years with straight guys who enjoy same sex activity.