honcho

In his weekly briefing yesterday, California Governor Newsom posted a graph showing that the positivity rate for testing has also had a modest uptick over the past couple of weeks, after having had a long steady decline. The rate has the number of tests divided out, so would also be an indicator of increased prevalence.

Credit where credit is due - actually courtesy of @Unicorn ....

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I wish I could give double applause to this one!

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I remember reading a report of live virus being found in semen; seems even likelier in piss. Sorry to *rain* on your parade ...

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http://malecelebnews.com/wp-content/images/2015/10/Alisson-Neri-by-Photographe-Leo-Castro-151022-01.jpg

Thank you for the expression of trust. Until very recently, it was more-or-less in lock step with San Francisco county. For a while, Santa Clara county was more restrictive than both. But increases started occuring mid-to-late may after some restrestrictions were lifted. I'm glad we can agree on that much. I'll politely disagree about the amount the data we have, since the period in which the loosing of restrictions is only about 1/3 of the time spent in much greater lockdown, and hospitalizations in general, and ICU occupancy in particular lags spikes of infection. I think that memorial day weekend was really the first surge of folks really beginning to interact again.

I spent an academic year in France 1975-1976; a classmate introduced me to her father as a musical connection/friend, and casual mentioned that he had a wife *and* a mistress, and the two women knew of each other and had met; not exactly a menage a trois, but this sort of arrangment was not at all uncommon in parisian circles at the time. He was not a particularly conservative family-values-stingy rich guy ...

Wow, he looks markedly different with short hair ... had I passed him on the street I likely would have done a double take because he is that handsome, but might not have recognized him ...

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Source: New York Times As Governor Newsome reminds us frequently: "Visit covid19.ca.gov". In particular, from the statewide page (https://update.covid19.ca.gov/#top ) we have near the top: California now has 161,099 confirmed cases of COVID-19, resulting in 5,290 deaths. The number of COVID-related deaths increased by 1.6 percent from Tuesday's total of 5,208. California’s hospitalizations due to COVID-19 increased by 18 from Tuesday. Further down on the page it has a graph of ICU state-wide occupancy for the past two weeks. It is an active page element and I can't figure out how to provide the URL for that, but it shows a local maximum on 5/31, and a secondary hump at 6/14 Occupancy today is about the same as it was on 5/2. Visiting https://covid19.ca.gov/roadmap-counties/#track-data, and choosing Alameda county in which you live (and I'm only about a mile north of along the bay instead of over the hills), show a net increase in ICU occupance of 11 beds (28%) for the last two weeks. I don't believe anybody has made the claim that this resulted from a single senior facility outbreak. As I stated in my earlier posting, I believe that ICU utilization is a fairer measure of prevalence given that the amount of testing is being increased. Now, what data would you like to present to refute this and allay my concern?

I believe that graph is nationwide. A graph of % occupancy of hospitals and ICU's in Arizon and Texas might look a little different.

I believe that graph is nationwide. A graph of % occupancy of hospitals and ICU's in Arizon and Texas might look a little different.

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